UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tokoro vs Hansen

1,723

CageRank

WINNER
Hansen

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Hansen
WILL WIN

1,858

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joachim Hansen
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 155 lbs vs 133 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Hideo Tokoro
Significantly better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Hansen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tokoro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joachim
Hansen
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hansen Tokoro
Significant Strikes72
Hansen's average striking offense is matched by Tokoro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hansen's average takedown offense is matched by Tokoro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hansen is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hansen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hansen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tokoro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hansen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hideo
Tokoro
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tokoro Hansen
Significant Strikes47
Tokoro's average striking offense is matched by Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Tokoro's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tokoro is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tokoro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tokoro is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hansen 8.4
fighter Tokoro 8.0
Great striking by Hansen
9 strikes May 29, 2011 vs Ishida
12 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
17 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Edwards

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hansen 8.4
fighter Tokoro 7.3
Great takedowns by Hansen
1 takedown May 29, 2011 vs Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Boku
6 takedowns Sep 25, 2005 vs Edwards

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hansen 6.9
fighter Tokoro 6.4
Great knockouts by Hansen
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Azeredo
Round 3 Mar 26, 2005 vs Uno

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hansen 8.2
fighter Tokoro 7.7
Great submissions by Hansen
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Won Seo
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Tokoro
Round 3 Feb 24, 2007 vs Ireland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hansen 7.8
fighter Tokoro 7.5
Fast finishes by Hansen
259 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
429 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Azeredo
888 seconds Mar 26, 2005 vs Uno
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2010Dream 16
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,6891,824
1,6571,856
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hansen
legend Tokoro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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