UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Lewis

2,010

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Overeem

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Overeem
WILL WIN

1,916

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 264 lbs vs 256 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alistair
Overeem
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Overeem is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Overeem 7.8
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
Round 1 Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 10, 2004 vs Glunder

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Overeem 8.8
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Overeem
522 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
313 seconds Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
80 seconds Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Overeem
legend Lewis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus