CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Overeem vs Miocic
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.7 | vs | 7.9 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly heavier hands | 9.1 | vs | 7.8 | More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders |
Stronger jaw | 9.0 | vs | 8.7 | Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Slightly fast finishes | 8.9 | vs | 8.8 | Almost the same |
Slightly younger | 35 years | vs | 37 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Much harder to hit | 9.2 | vs | 8.4 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Much better submission offense | 7.9 | vs | 6.6 | More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Much better takedown defense | 9.7 | vs | 8.7 | More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly better striker | 9.4 | vs | 8.9 | More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Heavier | 256 lbs | vs | 244 lbs | Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Taller | 196 cm | vs | 193 cm | Almost the same |
Better submission defense | 9.2 | vs | 8.9 | Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Miocic on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For Stipe Miocic |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? | Miocic | Overeem | |
Significant Strikes47
Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Overeem on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For Alistair Overeem |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? | Overeem | Miocic | |
Significant Strikes78
Overeem's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Overeem is unlikely to win by submission |
Good
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Overeem
32 strikes | Jun 18, 2011 | vs Werdum |
36 strikes | Feb 26, 2006 | vs Kharitonov |
5 strikes | Jun 26, 2005 | vs Vovchanchyn |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown | Jan 25, 2014 | vs Gonzaga |
1 takedown | Jun 15, 2013 | vs Nelson |
2 takedowns | May 26, 2012 | vs del Rosario |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 | May 26, 2012 | vs del Rosario |
Round 1 | Feb 15, 2012 | vs De Fries |
Round 1 | Feb 16, 2008 | vs Stansbury |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 | Nov 16, 2007 | vs Buentello |
Round 1 | Jun 26, 2005 | vs Vovchanchyn |
Round 1 | Oct 10, 2004 | vs Glunder |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds | May 26, 2012 | vs del Rosario |
43 seconds | Feb 15, 2012 | vs De Fries |
567 seconds | Jun 04, 2011 | vs Brents |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?