Alistair Overeem The Demolition Man 41-18

Weight 233 lbs
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80"
Age 38

Stipe Miocic 23-2

244 lbs
6' 4"
80"
35

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Miocic

CageRank

63% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Stipe Miocic

Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.7	vs	7.9	More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands	9.1	vs	7.8	More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier	244 lbs	vs	233 lbs	Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw	9.0	vs	8.7	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger	35 years	vs	38 years	Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly fast finishes	8.9	vs	8.8	Almost the same

Advantages for Alistair Overeem

Much harder to hit	9.2	vs	8.4	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense	7.9	vs	6.6	More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense	9.7	vs	8.7	More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker	9.4	vs	8.9	More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense	9.2	vs	8.9	Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap

Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills

Predictions For Stipe Miocic
In 11:27, how much damage will he do?	Miocic		Overeem
Significant Strikes47 Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Overeem's defense Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27	Excellent Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27	Average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Miocic is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Miocic is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills

Predictions For Alistair Overeem
In 11:27, how much damage will he do?	Overeem		Miocic
Significant Strikes78 Overeem's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout	Good Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Overeem is unlikely to win by submission	Good Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Overeem is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability