UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Miocic

2,010

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 256 lbs vs 244 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Miocic Overeem
Significant Strikes47
Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alistair
Overeem
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Overeem Miocic
Significant Strikes78
Overeem's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Overeem is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Overeem 9.4
Great striking by Overeem
32 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Werdum
36 strikes Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
5 strikes Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter Overeem 7.9
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter Overeem 7.8
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter Overeem 7.9
Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
Round 1 Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 10, 2004 vs Glunder

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Overeem 8.8
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 10, 2016UFC 203
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend Overeem
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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