UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Hunt

2,010

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Overeem

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Overeem
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Much taller 196 cm vs 178 cm 10% taller
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 202 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 261 lbs vs 256 lbs Almost the same
Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alistair
Overeem
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Overeem Hunt
Significant Strikes58
Overeem's excellent striking offense will dominate Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Overeem has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Hunt Overeem
Significant Strikes36
Hunt's good striking offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hunt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Overeem 9.4
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Overeem
32 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Werdum
36 strikes Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
5 strikes Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Hunt
1 takedown Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Rothwell
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Kosaka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Overeem 7.8
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Hunt
Round 3 Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Kongo
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Tuchscherer

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Hunt 6.6
Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
Round 1 Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 10, 2004 vs Glunder

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Overeem 8.8
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Overeem
522 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
313 seconds Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
80 seconds Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 4, 2017UFC 209
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
July 21, 2008Dream 5
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,9071,792
1,9411,758
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Overeem
legend Hunt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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