UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Vovchanchyn

2,010

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Overeem

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Overeem
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 196 cm vs 173 cm Around 15% taller
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier 256 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 37 years vs 44 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Igor Vovchanchyn
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vovchanchyn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alistair
Overeem
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Overeem Vovchanchyn
Significant Strikes41
Overeem's excellent striking offense is matched by Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Overeem is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Vovchanchyn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Igor
Vovchanchyn
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Vovchanchyn Overeem
Significant Strikes25
Vovchanchyn's average striking offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Vovchanchyn's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Overeem 9.4
fighter Vovchanchyn 8.2
Great striking by Overeem
32 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Werdum
36 strikes Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
5 strikes Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.7
Great takedowns by Overeem
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
1 takedown Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
1 takedown Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Overeem 7.8
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
Great knockouts by Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
Round 1 May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Round 1 Feb 03, 1998 vs Nutter

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.5
Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
Round 1 Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 10, 2004 vs Glunder

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Overeem 8.8
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
Fast finishes by Overeem
522 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
313 seconds Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
80 seconds Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,9471,963
2,0001,910
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Overeem
legend Vovchanchyn
Read More
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Vovchanchyn vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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