UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Overeem vs Glunder

2,010

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Overeem

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Overeem
WILL WIN

1,489

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alistair Overeem
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 5.8 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.0 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 7.9 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.3 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier 256 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 196 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rodney Glunder
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Overeem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Glunder’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alistair
Overeem
In 3:53, how much damage will he do? Overeem Glunder
Significant Strikes25
Overeem's excellent striking offense will dominate Glunder's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Overeem's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Glunder's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:53
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Overeem is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Overeem has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Overeem is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Glunder on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Overeem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rodney
Glunder
In 3:53, how much damage will he do? Glunder Overeem
Significant Strikes11
Glunder's average striking offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:53
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Glunder's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Overeem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Glunder is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Glunder is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Glunder is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Overeem 9.4
fighter Glunder 8.4
Great striking by Overeem
32 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Werdum
36 strikes Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
5 strikes Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Overeem 7.8
fighter Glunder 7.3
Great knockouts by Overeem
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Rogers
Round 1 Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
Round 2 Dec 23, 2002 vs Atajev

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Overeem 7.9
fighter Glunder 5.9
Great submissions by Overeem
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
Round 1 Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Oct 10, 2004 vs Glunder

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Overeem 8.8
fighter Glunder 7.5
Fast finishes by Overeem
522 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Buentello
313 seconds Feb 26, 2006 vs Kharitonov
80 seconds Jun 26, 2005 vs Vovchanchyn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 10, 20042H2H - 2 Hot 2 Handle
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
SUBX
1,8981,879
1,9461,832
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Overeem
legend Glunder
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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