UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Monson

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
95% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 5.9 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 40 years vs 46 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 189 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Jeff Monson
Heavier 237 lbs vs 222 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Monson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Monson
Significant Strikes50
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Monson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Monson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Monson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeff
Monson
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Monson Emelianenko
Significant Strikes14
Monson's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Monson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Monson is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Monson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Monson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Monson 7.8
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Monson 8.2
Great takedowns by Monson
1 takedown Apr 08, 2007 vs Fujita
2 takedowns Apr 15, 2006 vs Cruz
1 takedown Feb 04, 2006 vs Lee Hinkle

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Monson 5.9
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Monson 7.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Monson 7.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,1272,010
2,1611,976
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Monson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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