UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Rua

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,020

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 36 years vs 42 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Longer reach 193 cm vs 189 cm Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Rua
Significant Strikes35
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Rua Emelianenko
Significant Strikes34
Rua's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rua's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Rua 9.3
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Rua 8.3
Great takedowns by Rua
8 takedowns Dec 31, 2006 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Jun 26, 2005 vs Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Rua 9.3
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Rua 6.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Rua 8.8
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Rua
Read More
Rua vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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