UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Miocic

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly longer reach 203 cm vs 189 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 244 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 9:20, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Miocic
Significant Strikes57
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 9:20, how much damage will he do? Miocic Emelianenko
Significant Strikes30
Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Miocic 8.9
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Miocic 8.7
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Miocic 9.1
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Miocic 6.6
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Miocic 8.9
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Miocic
Read More
Emelianenko vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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