UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Herring

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,820

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Heath Herring
Significantly heavier 250 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 198 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herring’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Herring
Significant Strikes43
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Herring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Herring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Herring on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Heath
Herring
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Herring Emelianenko
Significant Strikes23
Herring's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Herring's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herring is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herring is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herring is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Herring 8.7
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Herring 7.9
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Herring 7.4
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Herring 7.0
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Herring 7.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 24, 2002Pride 23
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,9381,908
1,9841,862
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Herring
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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