UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs dos Santos

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 239 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 41 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 11:01, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko dos Santos
Significant Strikes52
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:01
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 11:01, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Emelianenko
Significant Strikes52
dos Santos's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:01
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:01
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter dos Santos 9.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter dos Santos 7.7
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter dos Santos 9.2
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter dos Santos 6.9
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter dos Santos 8.6
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend dos Santos
Read More
Emelianenko vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
dos Santos vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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