UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Sylvia

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,787

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 40 years vs 43 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tim Sylvia
Much taller 203 cm vs 183 cm More than 10% taller
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 203 cm vs 189 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sylvia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 7:31, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Sylvia
Significant Strikes45
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sylvia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Sylvia
In 7:31, how much damage will he do? Sylvia Emelianenko
Significant Strikes22
Sylvia's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:31
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sylvia's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:31
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sylvia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sylvia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sylvia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Sylvia 8.8
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Sylvia 7.3
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Sylvia 7.8
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Sylvia 6.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Sylvia 7.9
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 19, 2008Affliction - Banned
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,2932,026
2,3112,008
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Sylvia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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