UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Rizzo

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,860

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Pedro Rizzo
Significantly heavier 244 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rizzo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:10, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Rizzo
Significant Strikes39
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Rizzo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:10
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rizzo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rizzo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pedro
Rizzo
In 6:10, how much damage will he do? Rizzo Emelianenko
Significant Strikes11
Rizzo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:10
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rizzo's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:10
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rizzo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rizzo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rizzo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Rizzo 8.1
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Rizzo 7.1
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Rizzo 8.2
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Rizzo 6.7
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Rizzo 7.6
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1681,941
2,1891,920
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Rizzo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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