UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Lindland

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
87% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,859

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier 222 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 40 years vs 46 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Lindland
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lindland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 4:30, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Lindland
Significant Strikes25
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Lindland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lindland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lindland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Lindland
In 4:30, how much damage will he do? Lindland Emelianenko
Significant Strikes9
Lindland's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:30
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Lindland's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lindland is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lindland is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lindland is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Lindland 8.3
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Lindland 8.4
Great takedowns by Lindland
4 takedowns Aug 20, 2005 vs Doerksen
1 takedown Nov 21, 2003 vs Vitale
1 takedown Mar 22, 2002 vs Miletich

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Lindland 7.7
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Lindland 7.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Lindland 7.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
2,2712,039
2,2912,018
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Lindland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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