UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Randleman

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,628

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.0 More than 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.4 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 41 years vs 46 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Kevin Randleman
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Randleman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 5:18, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Randleman
Significant Strikes19
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense is matched by Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Randleman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Randleman
In 5:18, how much damage will he do? Randleman Emelianenko
Significant Strikes6
Randleman's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:18
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Randleman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Randleman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Randleman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Randleman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Randleman 7.6
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Randleman 8.7
Great takedowns by Randleman
1 takedown Jan 11, 2002 vs Sobral
2 takedowns Jun 09, 2000 vs Rizzo
6 takedowns Nov 19, 1999 vs Williams

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Randleman 6.8
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Randleman 6.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Randleman 7.0
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,1211,833
2,1371,817
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Randleman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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