UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Goodridge

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,583

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 41 years vs 51 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Gary Goodridge
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 239 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Goodridge’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 3:53, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Goodridge
Significant Strikes19
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Goodridge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Goodridge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Goodridge on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gary
Goodridge
In 3:53, how much damage will he do? Goodridge Emelianenko
Significant Strikes8
Goodridge's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:53
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Goodridge's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:53
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Goodridge is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Goodridge is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Goodridge is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Goodridge 8.3
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Goodridge 6.8
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Goodridge 7.2
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Goodridge 6.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Goodridge 7.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,0761,813
2,0941,795
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Goodridge
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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