UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Coleman

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,889

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 41 years vs 53 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mark Coleman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Coleman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:30, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Coleman
Significant Strikes26
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense is matched by Coleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Coleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Coleman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Coleman
In 6:30, how much damage will he do? Coleman Emelianenko
Significant Strikes13
Coleman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:30
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Coleman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:30
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Coleman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Coleman is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Coleman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Coleman 8.3
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Coleman 9.4
Great takedowns by Coleman
2 takedowns Feb 26, 2006 vs Rua
3 takedowns Jun 08, 2003 vs Frye
2 takedowns May 01, 2000 vs Vovchanchyn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Coleman 7.3
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Coleman 7.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Coleman 8.1
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 21, 2006Pride 32
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,2491,947
2,2641,932
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,0971,900
2,1211,876
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Coleman
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Coleman vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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