UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Sobral

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,934

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Renato Sobral
Longer reach 196 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sobral’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:18, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Sobral
Significant Strikes34
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Sobral's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Sobral's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sobral on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Sobral
In 6:18, how much damage will he do? Sobral Emelianenko
Significant Strikes14
Sobral's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:18
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sobral's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sobral is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sobral has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sobral is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Sobral 8.4
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Sobral 8.2
Great takedowns by Sobral
1 takedown Jun 16, 2010 vs Lawler
1 takedown Jul 19, 2008 vs Whitehead
2 takedowns Apr 16, 2005 vs Wiuff

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Sobral 6.4
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Sobral 8.3
Great submissions by Sobral
Round 2 Aug 25, 2007 vs Heath
Round 2 Oct 07, 2005 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 16, 2005 vs Wiuff

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Sobral 8.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XDEC
1,7242,003
1,8081,920
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Sobral
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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