UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Nagata

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,459

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 6.7 More than 35% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 6.8 More than 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 41 years vs 48 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Yuji Nagata
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nagata’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 1:07, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Nagata
Significant Strikes8
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Nagata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 10 Significant Strikes in 1:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Nagata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nagata on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yuji
Nagata
In 1:07, how much damage will he do? Nagata Emelianenko
Significant Strikes2
Nagata's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 10 Significant Strikes in 1:07
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Nagata's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nagata is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nagata is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nagata is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Nagata 8.2
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Nagata 7.3
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Nagata 7.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Nagata 7.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R3 SUBX
2,0941,461
2,0971,459
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Nagata
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus