UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Fujita

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,696

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 41 years vs 47 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Kazuyuki Fujita
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 239 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fujita’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 5:19, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Fujita
Significant Strikes25
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Fujita's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:19
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fujita's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Fujita on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazuyuki
Fujita
In 5:19, how much damage will he do? Fujita Emelianenko
Significant Strikes8
Fujita's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:19
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Fujita's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fujita is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fujita is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fujita is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Fujita 7.9
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Fujita 8.5
Great takedowns by Fujita
5 takedowns Dec 23, 2000 vs Yvel
2 takedowns May 01, 2000 vs Kerr
1 takedown Jan 30, 2000 vs Nijman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Fujita 6.9
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Fujita 7.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Fujita 7.8
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 8, 2003Pride 26
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
2,0631,736
2,0761,723
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Fujita
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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