UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs da Conceicao Martins

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,635

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.6 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Wagner da Conceicao Martins
Much heavier 389 lbs vs 222 lbs More than 75% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 201 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against da Conceicao Martins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 2:38, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko da Conceicao Martins
Significant Strikes17
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate da Conceicao Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 24 Significant Strikes in 2:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against da Conceicao Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
da Conceicao Martins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wagner
da Conceicao Martins
In 2:38, how much damage will he do? da Conceicao Martins Emelianenko
Significant Strikes4
da Conceicao Martins's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 24 Significant Strikes in 2:38
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
da Conceicao Martins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
da Conceicao Martins is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
da Conceicao Martins is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
da Conceicao Martins is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter da Conceicao Martins 8.1
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter da Conceicao Martins 7.7
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter da Conceicao Martins 6.6
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter da Conceicao Martins 7.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 31, 2005Pride FC - Shockwave 2005
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,2451,703
2,2491,699
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend da Conceicao Martins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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