UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Arona

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,949

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 222 lbs vs 200 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ricardo Arona
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arona’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:12, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Arona
Significant Strikes24
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense is matched by Arona's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:12
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arona's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Arona on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Arona
In 6:12, how much damage will he do? Arona Emelianenko
Significant Strikes13
Arona's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:12
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arona's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:12
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arona is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arona is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arona has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Arona 8.3
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Arona 8.9
Great takedowns by Arona
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Silva
7 takedowns Nov 24, 2002 vs Rua
4 takedowns Apr 28, 2002 vs Henderson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Arona 6.9
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Arona 7.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Arona 7.6
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,6241,637
1,6761,585
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Arona
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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