UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Mitrione

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Much longer reach 208 cm vs 189 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier 255 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 5:20, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Mitrione
Significant Strikes28
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 5:20, how much damage will he do? Mitrione Emelianenko
Significant Strikes15
Mitrione's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:20
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:20
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Mitrione 8.7
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Mitrione 7.3
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Mitrione 8.8
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Mitrione 6.8
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Mitrione 8.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Mitrione
Read More
Emelianenko vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Mitrione vs Mir
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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