UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Kosaka

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,762

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 40 years vs 46 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tsuyoshi Kosaka
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kosaka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 9:03, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Kosaka
Significant Strikes54
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Kosaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 9:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Kosaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kosaka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tsuyoshi
Kosaka
In 9:03, how much damage will he do? Kosaka Emelianenko
Significant Strikes20
Kosaka's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 9:03
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kosaka's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kosaka is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kosaka is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kosaka is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Kosaka 8.4
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Kosaka 8.5
Great takedowns by Kosaka
1 takedown Feb 26, 2006 vs Sperry
3 takedowns Oct 16, 1998 vs Williams

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Kosaka 7.4
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Kosaka 6.6
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Kosaka 7.9
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 3, 2005Pride - Bushido 6
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,2021,809
2,2121,799
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,6761,797
1,6421,830
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Kosaka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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