UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Ishii

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,013

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Satoshi Ishii
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 239 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishii’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 7:34, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Ishii
Significant Strikes45
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Ishii's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishii's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishii on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoshi
Ishii
In 7:34, how much damage will he do? Ishii Emelianenko
Significant Strikes15
Ishii's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:34
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ishii's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:34
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishii is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishii is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishii has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Ishii 8.2
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Ishii 8.8
Great takedowns by Ishii
4 takedowns Dec 31, 2010 vs LeBanner
6 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Minowa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Ishii 6.7
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Ishii 7.8
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Ishii 8.0
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
2,1611,708
2,1681,701
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Ishii
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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