UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Gracie

2,189

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

1,873

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much younger 41 years vs 59 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier 222 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Rickson Gracie
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gracie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:09, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Gracie
Significant Strikes33
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gracie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rickson
Gracie
In 6:09, how much damage will he do? Gracie Emelianenko
Significant Strikes12
Gracie's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:09
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gracie's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gracie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gracie has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gracie is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Gracie 8.3
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Gracie 8.3
Great takedowns by Gracie
1 takedown Oct 11, 1997 vs Takada

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Gracie 6.3
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Gracie 9.5
Great submissions by Gracie
Round 1 May 26, 2000 vs Funaki
Round 1 Apr 20, 1995 vs Nakai
Round 1 Jul 29, 1994 vs Nishi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Gracie 8.0
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Gracie
Read More
Emelianenko vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Gracie vs Gracie
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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