UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tsuboi vs Elkins

1,435

CageRank

WINNER
Elkins

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
96% chance Elkins
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Darren Elkins
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.1 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly younger 33 years vs 44 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Atsuhiro Tsuboi
Slightly heavier 153 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Elkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tsuboi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darren
Elkins
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Elkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Elkins has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Tsuboi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Atsuhiro
Tsuboi
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tsuboi is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tsuboi is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tsuboi is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Elkins 7.6
fighter Tsuboi 6.8
Great knockouts by Elkins
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Neville

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Elkins 7.1
fighter Tsuboi 6.1
Great submissions by Elkins
Round 1 Aug 15, 2008 vs Klein
Round 1 Aug 24, 2007 vs Tsuboi
Round 1 Jan 24, 2007 vs Markam

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Elkins 8.0
fighter Tsuboi 6.8
Fast finishes by Elkins
186 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
44 seconds Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
115 seconds Aug 24, 2007 vs Tsuboi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5591,671
1,5251,706
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Elkins
legend Tsuboi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus