UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Aoki

2,250

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
51% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 7.4 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.1 More than 35% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 42 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.1 More than 55% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 9:57, how much damage will he do? Aoki Silva
Significant Strikes14
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:57
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:57
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 9:57, how much damage will he do? Silva Aoki
Significant Strikes27
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:57
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aoki 7.4
fighter Silva 9.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter Silva 7.1
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Silva 9.5
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Silva 7.4
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Silva 9.4
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Silva
Read More
Silva vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Aoki vs Oleynik
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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