UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Penn

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
83% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly heavier 184 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 38 years vs 42 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 11:13, how much damage will he do? Silva Penn
Significant Strikes67
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:13
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 11:13, how much damage will he do? Penn Silva
Significant Strikes48
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Penn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by Penn
1 takedown Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
3 takedowns Jun 23, 2007 vs Pulver
4 takedowns Oct 10, 2003 vs Gomi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Penn
Read More
Silva vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Penn vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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