UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Jones

2,250

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.1 Around 35% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 215 cm vs 197 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 30 years vs 42 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 11:31, how much damage will he do? Jones Silva
Significant Strikes66
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:31
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 11:31, how much damage will he do? Silva Jones
Significant Strikes40
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:31
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Silva 9.0
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Silva 7.1
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Silva 9.5
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Silva 7.4
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Silva 9.4
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Silva
Read More
Silva vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs Ngannou
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 3 comments.
Maybe if they fought 6 years ago. Silva is old and washed up. Jones is still young and getting better.
Anderson would definitely win this fight, Spider is the GOAT!!
Silva it's over, Jones is on ascend ;)
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