UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Souza

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 187 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.1 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Silva Souza
Significant Strikes38
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Souza Silva
Significant Strikes39
Souza's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Souza 8.7
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Souza 9.2
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Souza 7.3
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Souza 9.0
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Souza 9.4
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Souza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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