UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Lutter

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.8 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 197 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 42 years vs 44 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Travis Lutter
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.1 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lutter’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 5:12, how much damage will he do? Silva Lutter
Significant Strikes24
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Lutter's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:12
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Lutter's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:12
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lutter on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Travis
Lutter
In 5:12, how much damage will he do? Lutter Silva
Significant Strikes8
Lutter's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:12
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lutter's good takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:12
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lutter is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lutter has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lutter is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Lutter 7.6
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Lutter 9.0
Great takedowns by Lutter
1 takedown Nov 11, 2006 vs Cote

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Lutter 6.8
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Lutter 8.3
Great submissions by Lutter
Round 1 Nov 11, 2006 vs Cote
Round 1 Feb 04, 2006 vs Landi-Jons
Round 1 Apr 04, 2004 vs Jakubowski

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Lutter 8.3
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 3, 2007UFC 67
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,0611,867
2,0861,843
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Lutter
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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