UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Rivera

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,916

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Younger 41 years vs 44 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jorge Rivera
Stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rivera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 7:42, how much damage will he do? Silva Rivera
Significant Strikes41
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Rivera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:42
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rivera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:42
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rivera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Rivera
In 7:42, how much damage will he do? Rivera Silva
Significant Strikes23
Rivera's average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:42
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rivera's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:42
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rivera has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rivera is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rivera is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Rivera 8.4
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Rivera 7.5
Great takedowns by Rivera
4 takedowns Apr 01, 2009 vs Osterneck
1 takedown Jan 19, 2008 vs Grove

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Rivera 8.7
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Rivera 6.3
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Rivera 8.3
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 30, 2005Cage Rage 11
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
DECX
1,8801,873
1,9291,824
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Rivera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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