UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Leites

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.1 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.1 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 36 years vs 42 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 10:58, how much damage will he do? Silva Leites
Significant Strikes48
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:58
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:58
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 10:58, how much damage will he do? Leites Silva
Significant Strikes23
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:58
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Leites's good takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:58
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Leites 7.9
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Leites 9.1
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Leites 7.1
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Leites 8.6
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Leites 8.8
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2009UFC 97
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
R2 KOX
2,2442,050
2,2692,026
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Leites
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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