UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Carneiro

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.4 Around 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 197 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Roan Carneiro
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 7.1 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carneiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 5:14, how much damage will he do? Silva Carneiro
Significant Strikes26
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Carneiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:14
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Carneiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:14
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Carneiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roan
Carneiro
In 5:14, how much damage will he do? Carneiro Silva
Significant Strikes12
Carneiro's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:14
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Carneiro's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:14
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carneiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carneiro is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carneiro is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Carneiro 8.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Carneiro 9.3
Great takedowns by Carneiro
3 takedowns Dec 29, 2007 vs DeSouza
7 takedowns Apr 05, 2007 vs Clementi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Carneiro 6.4
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Carneiro 7.9
Great submissions by Carneiro
Round 1 Mar 24, 2012 vs Hwan Cha
Round 0 Oct 15, 2005 vs Mattos
Round 1 Sep 04, 2004 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Carneiro 7.9
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,8051,451
1,8161,440
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Carneiro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus