UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Machida

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,164

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 40 years vs 43 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? Silva Machida
Significant Strikes28
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? Machida Silva
Significant Strikes40
Machida's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Machida 8.7
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Machida 8.0
Great takedowns by Machida
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2005 vs Penn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Machida 8.6
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Machida 6.8
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Machida 8.2
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Machida
Read More
Silva vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Machida vs Liddell
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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