UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Sonnen

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 197 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.1 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 7:39, how much damage will he do? Silva Sonnen
Significant Strikes25
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:39
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
In 7:39, how much damage will he do? Sonnen Silva
Significant Strikes29
Sonnen's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:39
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sonnen's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:39
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Sonnen 8.8
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Sonnen 9.4
Great takedowns by Sonnen
6 takedowns Feb 06, 2010 vs Marquardt
4 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Okami
1 takedown Nov 05, 2008 vs Filho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Sonnen 7.4
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Sonnen 7.5
Great submissions by Sonnen
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Rua
Round 2 Oct 08, 2011 vs Stann
Round 1 Feb 18, 2007 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Sonnen 8.1
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2012UFC 148
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
2,3822,208
2,4092,182
August 7, 2010UFC 117
team
VS
team
R5 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,3112,165
2,3412,135
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Sonnen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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