UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Weidman

2,250

CageRank

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,260

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.1 Around 35% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 32 years vs 41 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 11:04, how much damage will he do? Weidman Silva
Significant Strikes42
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:04
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:04
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 11:04, how much damage will he do? Silva Weidman
Significant Strikes45
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:04
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:04
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Silva 9.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Silva 7.1
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Silva 9.5
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Silva 7.4
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Silva 9.4
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 28, 2013UFC 168
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 KOX
2,3252,134
2,2502,209
July 6, 2013UFC 162
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R3 KOX
2,4142,045
2,3252,134
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Silva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 5 comments.
FAIL 2 times :v
This just illustrates how ridiculous this is. They have Anderson beating Cain or Fedor...Imagine the GNP on Silva considering what Wiedman did. We would need another stretcher for Anderson
lolololol
Which stats in particular do you think should have gone up? His CageRank is up 89 points since defeating Silva, as are associated ratings for knockout ability, etc. It's possible we've missed something, so please let me know what you think looks wrong.
It is kinda ridiculous that Weidman's stats haven't increased.
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