UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Chonan

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,876

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.0 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 178 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ryo Chonan
Stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chonan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 7:06, how much damage will he do? Silva Chonan
Significant Strikes41
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Chonan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Chonan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:06
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Chonan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryo
Chonan
In 7:06, how much damage will he do? Chonan Silva
Significant Strikes26
Chonan's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:06
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Chonan's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:06
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chonan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chonan is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chonan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Chonan 8.7
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Chonan 7.5
Great takedowns by Chonan
1 takedown Jun 04, 2006 vs Villasenor
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Silva
1 takedown Oct 14, 2004 vs Newton

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Chonan 7.5
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Chonan 6.2
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Chonan 7.0
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 31, 2004Pride - Shockwave 2004
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
DECX
1,9581,734
1,8801,812
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Chonan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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