UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Bonnar

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,916

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Stephan Bonnar
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.1 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 203 cm vs 197 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bonnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Silva Bonnar
Significant Strikes52
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Bonnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Bonnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bonnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephan
Bonnar
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Bonnar Silva
Significant Strikes32
Bonnar's average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bonnar's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bonnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bonnar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bonnar is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Bonnar 8.5
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Bonnar 8.3
Great takedowns by Bonnar
4 takedowns Nov 19, 2011 vs Kingsbury
2 takedowns Jul 03, 2010 vs Soszynski
1 takedown Apr 06, 2006 vs Jardine

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Bonnar 7.3
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Bonnar 7.5
Great submissions by Bonnar
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Nickels
Round 1 Jan 16, 2006 vs Irvin
Round 1 Nov 22, 2003 vs Lynde

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Bonnar 7.9
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 13, 2012UFC 153
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,4091,922
2,4141,916
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Bonnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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