UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Leben

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,753

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 179 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Chris Leben
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 7.4 vs 7.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leben’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 7:23, how much damage will he do? Silva Leben
Significant Strikes46
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Leben's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Leben's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Leben on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Leben
In 7:23, how much damage will he do? Leben Silva
Significant Strikes25
Leben's average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Leben's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leben is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leben is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leben is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Leben 8.6
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Leben 7.4
Great takedowns by Leben
1 takedown Aug 17, 2006 vs Santiago
5 takedowns Apr 06, 2006 vs Fioravanti
1 takedown Jan 16, 2006 vs Rivera

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Leben 7.9
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Leben 6.9
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Leben 7.9
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 28, 2006UFC Fight Night 5
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 KO
1,9292,055
1,9961,988
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Leben
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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