UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Kato

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
97% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,661

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.9 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 188 cm vs 170 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 184 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Tetsuji Kato
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kato’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 6:41, how much damage will he do? Silva Kato
Significant Strikes36
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Kato's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Kato's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:41
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kato on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tetsuji
Kato
In 6:41, how much damage will he do? Kato Silva
Significant Strikes18
Kato's average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:41
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kato's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kato is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kato is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kato is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Kato 8.2
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Kato 6.9
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Kato 6.9
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Kato 7.3
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,6291,830
1,7051,754
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Kato
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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