UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Sakuraba

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,676

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.2 Around 55% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 42 years vs 48 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 166 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 5:44, how much damage will he do? Silva Sakuraba
Significant Strikes35
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:44
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:44
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 5:44, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Silva
Significant Strikes8
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:44
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by Sakuraba
2 takedowns Jul 29, 2001 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Aug 27, 2000 vs Gracie
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Sakuraba
Read More
Silva vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Sakuraba vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
ok I was hoping for some objectiveness here when I came upon this. seeing things like" Sakuraba's below average takedown offense." The man is known as the best takedown artist in MMA history. His single leg is considered legendary by pretty much all pundits of MMA, including top trainers and fighters like Militech, Great Jackson, Bas Rutten and the like. and listing his great submissions using Minowa, Randleman and Smirnovas as his top subs? He's still the only man to sub Gracie's in MMA, didn't think to mention Royler and Renzo among his great subs? How's about Carlos Newton or Ebenezer Braga? Not to mention the first man to sub a BJJ/GJJ blackbelt in MMA history when he subbed the 60lb heavier Conan Silviera. And don't forget Silva's two submission losses come to two of Sakuraba's lesser training partners.
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