UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Newton

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,675

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Much heavier 184 lbs vs 174 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Carlos Newton
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.1 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Newton’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 6:37, how much damage will he do? Silva Newton
Significant Strikes31
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Newton's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Newton's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:37
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Newton on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Newton
In 6:37, how much damage will he do? Newton Silva
Significant Strikes10
Newton's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:37
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Newton's good takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:37
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Newton is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Newton is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Newton is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Newton 7.4
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Newton 9.1
Great takedowns by Newton
3 takedowns Feb 24, 2002 vs Landi-Jons
4 takedowns May 04, 2001 vs Miletich
3 takedowns Dec 23, 2000 vs de Oliveira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Newton 6.7
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Newton 7.3
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Newton 7.8
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 16, 2003Pride 25
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8831,839
1,9271,795
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Newton
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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