UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Mousasi

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,154

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 32 years vs 42 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 11:49, how much damage will he do? Silva Mousasi
Significant Strikes33
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:49
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 11:49, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Silva
Significant Strikes52
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Mousasi 9.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Mousasi 8.6
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Mousasi 7.8
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Mousasi 8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Mousasi 8.8
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Mousasi
Read More
Silva vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Mousasi vs Rockhold
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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