UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Diaz

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 197 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 41 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Silva Diaz
Significant Strikes72
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Diaz Silva
Significant Strikes70
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Diaz 9.7
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Diaz 7.6
Great takedowns by Diaz
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
1 takedown Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
3 takedowns Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Diaz 8.4
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Diaz 8.0
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Diaz 8.7
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2015UFC 183
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Diaz
Read More
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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