UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Nurmagomedov

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 178 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.1 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much younger 29 years vs 43 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 8:50, how much damage will he do? Silva Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes45
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:50
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 8:50, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Silva
Significant Strikes32
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:50
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:50
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Nurmagomedov
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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