UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Lesnar

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
92% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,820

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 7.1 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 45% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 206 cm vs 197 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 4:22, how much damage will he do? Silva Lesnar
Significant Strikes22
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:22
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:22
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 4:22, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Silva
Significant Strikes18
Lesnar's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:22
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:22
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Lesnar
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Lesnar vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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