UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Murray

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,792

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Lee Murray
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Murray’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 5:24, how much damage will he do? Silva Murray
Significant Strikes31
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Murray's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Murray's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:24
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Murray on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lee
Murray
In 5:24, how much damage will he do? Murray Silva
Significant Strikes12
Murray's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:24
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Murray's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Murray is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Murray is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Murray is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Murray 8.0
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Murray 7.7
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Murray 7.7
Great submissions by Murray
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Rivera
Round 1 Jun 16, 2002 vs Boumna
Round 1 Jun 17, 2000 vs Albandia

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Murray 8.6
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 11, 2004Cage Rage 8
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
1,9221,829
1,9581,792
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Murray
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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