UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs McGregor

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Heavier hands 9.5 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 29 years vs 42 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? Silva McGregor
Significant Strikes47
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? McGregor Silva
Significant Strikes28
McGregor's good striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend McGregor
Read More
Silva vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
McGregor vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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